MacroDigest

Macro Podcasts

Episodes

152 retained episodes.

Showing 1-30 of 152.

Newshour

Original-language Geopolitics report

Two days before they were due to take effect, US President Donald Trump has blocked several sanctions on Russia. The news comes as the rift between him and Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky deepens, following Ukrainian strikes on a Russian oil refinery during the week. We speak to an official from the first Trump administration, who has publicly supported the sanctions. Also in the programme: we explore why youth protests have been happening across Europe; and Brazil records its lowest deforestation rate in the Amazon, according to government figures. (Photo: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in Brussels, Belgium October 2026. Credit: REUTERS/Yves Herman)

Bloomberg Surveillance

Bank Earnings, Why Consumers Are 'Roughed Up' & Real Estate Trends

Bloomberg Money takes the pulse of your financial life, powered by the reporting of our global newsroom. Today's guests: Wells Fargo Chief Economist Tom Porcelli, Miller Samuel Co-Founder Jonathan Miller, and Brown Harris Stevens CEO Bess Freedman. See for privacy information.

Foreign Policy

Israeli Settlers Launch a Coordinated Attack in the West Bank

Foreign Policy reports that dozens of masked Israeli settlers attacked Palestinian civilians harvesting olives in eight West Bank villages, injured at least 20 people, set olive groves ablaze and assaulted Washington Post photographer Heidi Levine.

Forward Guidance

The Bond Market Is Pricing In Something Worse Than Inflation | Weekly Roundup

Is the AI trade now the only thing standing between the economy and a slowdown? This week, we unpack why bonds are rallying through scalding inflation data and what that says about the current cycle and inflection point in markets. We explore the collapse in October hike odds, why AI backstops favor debt over equity, the Russell's brutal losing streak, where to hide from a correlation shock, and whether the top is in for yields. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 02:06 Why Are Bonds Ignoring Hot Inflation? 07:53 Has The Fed Ruled Out October? 11:56 Ads (Fidelity Crypto) 12:29 Cracks In The AI Growth Engine 16:59 Is A Growth Slowdown Already Coming? 21:11 The Market’s Warning Shot 26:43 Ads (Fidelity Crypto) 27:42 Who Gets Saved In AI Bailouts? 32:14 Where Can Investors Find Shelter? 40:41 Do Rate Hikes Still Work? 44:43 Can Bonds Really Offer Safety? 49:06 Iran Escalation And The Midterms FO

The Business Times markets and economy

Higher for longer is testing Asia’s AI trade

Record profits at TSMC, crushed Asian tech, and credit risks widening for AI's biggest backers. Is the debt-fueled AI boom hitting a...

The Economics Show

Lessons in communication for Kevin Warsh. With Chris Giles

It is not a calm time in the markets. Investors are losing their cool while bond yields rise along with inflation. So where are central bankers? Offering words of calm? Or adding to the anxiety? The Fed’s Kevin Warsh has been telling people they need to look to the data, not to him. But is it that simple? The FT’s Chris Giles joins host Soumaya Keynes to talk through what makes for good central banker communication – and what happens if the message gets lost. Subscribe to Soumaya's show on Apple, Spotify, Pocket Casts or wherever you listen. Presented by Soumaya Keynes. Produced by Katya Kumkova. Original music and sound design by Breen Turner. Manuela Saragosa is the executive producer. Flo Phillips is the FT’s head of audio. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See for more information.

Macro Voices

Original-language AI & Capex report

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome Yasir Arafat. They discuss Aalo Atomics’ plan to mass-produce small nuclear reactors, initially for AI data centers, and the scale of the power demand the company hopes to serve. Arafat describes how factory production and repeated designs could lower costs, while identifying supply-chain growth as a major challenge. They also discuss using low-enriched uranium in the near term, the longer-term potential of fast-spectrum reactors and fuel recycling, changing U.S. policies on nuclear energy, and competition with China. Find out more: ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: 🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack

ChinaTalk

From Posting to Policy: Saif Khan on DUV and the AI Balance

Saif Khan makes his ChinaTalk debut. He is perhaps my favorite example of posting-to-policy that I’ve seen over the course of my time following Washington. Saif wrote some truly excellent deep dives into AI and semiconductors during his time at CSET, then went into the NSC and Commerce in the early-to-mid 2020s, across both the Biden and Trump II administrations, to help manifest the export control regulatory regime we have today. He is now out of government and launching the Center for Technology and Statecraft, an IFP-affiliated think tank, which is already producing excellent, grounded, technical, forward-looking work that will certainly shape many an AI policy discussion in the years to come. We discuss: Why Saif started a new think tank, and the value of deep, forward-looking policy research in an AI world moving at breakneck speed; CTS’s landmark DUV report, which projects that sto

One Decision

Will OpenAI Need a Government Bailout? (w/ Sebastian Mallaby)

#OpenAI #AI #ArtificialIntelligence Thank you to Incogni for sponsoring. Get 60% off the annual plan with code onedecision at OpenAI says it will burn $280 billion by 2030. Sebastian Mallaby gives it a 50/50 chance of running out of money by next summer. So what happens when the world's most prominent AI lab goes bust — and does the US government step in? Sebastian Mallaby — Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and author of The Infinity Machine, a biography of DeepMind co-founder Demis Hassabis — joins Sir Richard Dearlove and John Raine. They discuss the financial fragility of the leading AI labs, why open-weight AI models are too dangerous to permit, how a US-China non-proliferation deal for AI might work, and what a war game about nuclear submarines revealed about where this is all heading. In this episode: (00:00) AI Race Between US and China (02:08) Sebastian Mallaby o

Bloomberg Surveillance

Inflation and Bonds Amid AI Concerns

The latest in finance, economics and investment. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney Thursday, October 15th, 2026 Featuring: 1) David Katz, CIO at Matrix Asset Advisors, Dana Telsey, Founder at Telsey Advisory Group, and Ross Mayfield, Investment Strategist at Baird Private Wealth, react to PPI and CPI. 2) Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, offers her outlook for global equities and inflation. 3) Winnie Cisar, Global Head: Strategy at CreditSights, discusses rising bond yields across the globe and the question of rates. 4) Libby Cantrill, Managing Director: Public Policy at PIMCO, previews the Midterms and issues driving voters to the polls. See for privacy information.

Bloomberg Surveillance

CPI and the AI Trade

The latest in finance, economics and investment. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney Wednesday, October 14th, 2026 Featuring: 1) Eric Winograd, Chief Economist at AllianceBernstein, David Rosenberg, founder at Rosenberg Research, Jim Bianco, founder at Bianco Research, and Rob Sockin, Chief US Economist at PGIM Credit react to CPI and talk US inflation. 2) Ted Mortonson, Managing Director: Technology at Baird, talks about his outlook for tech and the AI trade 3) Ernesto Revilla, Chief Economist: Latin America at Citi, talks about his call that Latin America's economies are "poised for take-off." See for privacy information.

Bloomberg Surveillance

Markets, Earnings, and Oil

The latest in finance, economics and investment. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney Tuesday, October 13th, 2026 Featuring: 1) Ed Yardeni, President at Yardeni Research, talks about his S&P call, bond vigilantes, and what could hold back to the equity melt up. 2) Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, on her S&P outlook and market choppiness. 3) Ellen Fraser, Partner at Baringa, joins to discuss rising oil prices and whether diesel prices will come down with Russian diesel on the market. 4) David Reich, founder at Fambot, talks about developing a real life AI-use case and where we might see more AI integration in daily life. See for privacy information.

Hidden Forces

Is It Time to Start Buying Bonds? | Jim Bianco

In Episode 502 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research and Bianco Advisors, about why he has turned bullish on bonds after six years of warning they were overvalued, what the K-shaped economy and the dominance of AI-related stocks mean for markets, and how mounting fiscal pressures in Washington, Paris, London, and Tokyo could reshape the investment landscape over the next three to five years. The first hour covers Jim's thesis on the bond market, the K-shaped economy, and why asset ownership and capital gains, rather than wages, now drive both consumer spending and the public's sense of how the economy is doing. They also discuss the growing concentration of US stock market gains in a small group of AI-related companies, the valuations of those companies, and how agentic AI is already reshaping the economy, including the financial research an

Patrick Boyle On Finance

The French Bond Market Is on Fire

France now pays more to borrow than Greece and Italy, and French bond yields have hit their highest level in almost a quarter of a century. In this video, I look at why the French debt crisis is happening now: a global bond market selloff driven by AI spending and the Iran energy shock, a budget deficit of 5.4% of GDP, and a minority government trying to pass spending cuts while students blockade schools across the country. We look at why Italy, with more debt than France, can borrow more cheaply, what the primary balance tells bond investors, and what Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon are proposing ahead of next year’s presidential election. Finally, we ask whether the European Central Bank can step in with its Transmission Protection Instrument, and why the euro turns what would once have been a currency crisis into a slow squeeze. Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor:

Latent Space

Original-language AI & Capex report

From the Bitter Lesson of AI scaling to the unsolved mysteries of protein folding, Google DeepMind’s Pushmeet Kohli and Biohub’s Sal Candido are rethinking what it takes to build AI that truly understands biology. In this special panel moderated by Brandon Anderson, they explore why AlphaFold’s breakthrough was only the beginning, why scaling compute and data alone won’t solve biology, and how the next generation of AI models could transform our understanding of proteins, cells, and human disease. We go deep on the future of AI-driven biology: finding scaling laws in biological data, the tradeoffs between scientific intuition and general-purpose architectures, why protein structure prediction is far from solved, and what it would take to build predictive models of living systems. Pushmeet reflects on the lessons behind AlphaFold, the limits of human interpretability, and whether future f

Newshour

The US announces new sanctions on the International Criminal Court.

The United States is imposing new financial sanctions on the International Criminal Court, escalating its campaign against the body that prosecutes the world's most serious crimes. The announcement comes hours after a former ICC judge, Navi Pillay, was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. We talk to Amnesty International's Secretary General about the new American sanctions against the ICC. Also in the programme: an expert on capital punishment gives us his take on the US' announcement it will livestream the execution of Nidal Hasan, the US Army major who shot and killed 13 soldiers in 2009; and we hear about a new species of waterlily discovered in the rainforest of Colombia. (Photo: Nobel Peace Prize winner Navi Pillay at a press conference at the International Nuremberg Principles Academy in Nuremberg, Germany. Credit: EPA/Shutterstock)

TechCrunch AI

Amazon drops data center NDAs, and AI agents want your credit card

Amazon says it will stop using NDAs when negotiating data center deals with local governments, following a similar move from Microsoft earlier this year. Secrecy has fueled community backlash against AI infrastructure, with opposition leading to hundreds of proposed and enacted moratoriums from New York to San Francisco. Meanwhile, a wave of startups is betting that consumers will hand AI agents access […]

Macro Hive

Ep. 379: Paul Cavey on East Asia's AI Tech Boom, Semiconductor Exports, and Macro Dynamics

Paul Cavey is a China-focused Asia economist with twenty-five years of experience covering the region. He runs East Asia Econ. Previously, he was a macro strategist in the global bond team at Wellington Management, head of China economics at Macquarie Securities and chief China economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit. In this podcast, we discuss: AI Hardware Demand & Regional Supply Chains Taiwan's Real GDP Expansion vs. Korea's Terms-of-Trade Shock Taiwan's Negative Real Interest Rates & Inflation Outlook East Asia's Resilience to Global Energy Shocks Bank of Korea Policy Hikes & Won FX Dynamics Japan's Fiscal Revenue Boom & Manufacturing Catch-Up BOJ Policy Path, Persistent Inflation, and Yen Weakness China's Property Slump & Incremental Credit Easing China's Auto Export Surge & Sovereign Tech Stack Sovereign Balance Sheet Divergence & CGB Market Dynamics

Bloomberg Surveillance

Bond Volatility and Energy Flows

The latest in finance, economics and investment. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney Thursday, October 8th, 2026 Featuring: 1) Virginie Maisonneuve, founder at Maisonneuve Global Advisors, joins to discuss the global economic outlook and US inflation and repricing. 2) Kay Herr, Managing Director and CIO: US GFICC at JPM Investment Management, talks the back-up in yields and the Fed's rate hiking cycle. 3) Tobin Marcus, Head of Public Policy and Politics at Wolfe Research, looks ahead to the Midterms and talks his Blue Wave skepticism. 4) Leslie Paltz-Guzman, founder at Energy Vista, talks LNG, oil, and global energy output outlook heading into winter. See for privacy information.

Bloomberg Surveillance

Equities, Bonds, and AI

The latest in finance, economics and investment. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney Wednesday, October 7th, 2026 Featuring: 1) Alicia Levine, CIO at BNY Wealth, on her S&P call and market outlook for 2H 2026. 2) Chuck Clough, Chairman at Clough Capital, talks about what he's seeing in current markets and whether we're facing an AI bubble. 3) Fatima Boolani, Co-Head of Software Equity Research at Citi, discusses software stocks and whether they face an existential AI threat. 4) Kyra Fecteau, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager at Wellington Management, brings us into the market open and talks about whether the bond selloff will bleed into equities. See for privacy information.

Bloomberg Surveillance

Risk Cycles Across Equities, Bonds, and Currencies

The latest in finance, economics and investment. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube:. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyTuesday, October 6th, 2026 Featuring: 1) Brian Belski, CEO and CIO at Humilis Investment Strategies, joins for an extended discussion about the structural equity bull market. 2) Ozan Tarman, Vice Chair: Global Macro at Deutsche Bank, talks about growing debt pressures across Europe and contagion risks. 3) Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO, talks economic growth and risk cycles. 4) Steven Englander, Global Head of G10 FX Research and of North America Strategy for Standard Chartered Bank, talks FX moves amid a euro crisis and whether a Fed rate hike is a mistake. See for privacy information.

Euro Matters

Is Europe falling behind? – In Conversation with Paul Krugman

We often hear that Europe is falling behind. But is it really that simple? Nobel Prize winner Paul Krugman argues that the situation is more nuanced. In the latest episode of Euro Matters, he talks to host Stefania Secola about Europe's competitiveness, innovation, fragmentation, and our place in a changing global economy. The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank. Recorded on 16 September and published on 6 October 2026. ECB Instagram Paul Krugman’s blog on substack Paul Krugman’s speech at the ECB Annual research conference Euro Matters on Spotify Euro Matters on Apple Podcasts

The Verge AI

Sen. Adam Schiff on AI regulation, free speech, and impeaching Trump one more time

Today, I’m talking with Sen. Adam Schiff, a Democrat from California. Schiff sits on a number of committees with oversight into tech and AI: intellectual property, antitrust, privacy and technology — it’s all there. I really wanted to ask him about how we might regulate anything related to the tech industry at this moment in […]

Odd Lots

Original-language Markets report

We all know that US Treasury yields have been surging, alongside bond yields all around the world. So what explains the selloff and does this mean that bonds are becoming fundamentally riskier? What happens if investors can no longer hedge stocks with government debt? And how do expectations of the Federal Reserve's "reaction function" fit in? In this episode, we speak with Carolin Pflueger, associate professor at the University of Chicago and a resident scholar at the Chicago Fed Bank, about her work on the bond market and central banks. We discuss why bonds have become more stock-like, what that means for yields, and the role of the Fed's credibility in making bonds “bond-like” again. See Odd Lots Live in Chicago! See for privacy information.

Forward Guidance

Original-language Monetary Policy report

Can policymakers keep the AI boom alive without squeezing the rest of the economy? This week, Aidan Garrib, PGM Global’s head of global macro strategy and research, joins us to explore the widening divide between Wall Street and Main Street. We discuss what’s driving bond yields, housing’s squeeze, the debasement trade, and Europe’s policy trap. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 02:38 What’s Really Driving Bond Yields? 08:31 AI Booms While Housing Breaks 14:40 Can The Fed Get Yields Down? 19:23 The Fed’s Inflation Balancing Act 22:42 Can Main Street Survive AI’s Boom? 29:04 Why Policymakers Need Stocks Higher 33:04 Do Rate Hikes Actually Stimulate? 38:13 Engineering Buyers For Government Debt 43:00 Europe’s Inflation Or Industry Dilemma 48:23 Why Europe’s Crisis Keeps Getting Worse FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – › Felix – › Quinn – › Aidan – › Telegram – › Blockworks – RESOURCES › Lea

Bloomberg Surveillance

US Firms Add Just 29,000 Jobs, Unemployment Rate Ticks Up: Instant Reaction

The US added fewer jobs than expected in September and wage growth slowed, signaling some caution among employers amid rising costs. Nonfarm payrolls increased 29,000 last month after a downward revision to the prior two months, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data out Friday. That missed all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, partly reflecting a growing workforce. Bloomberg’s Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney get reaction from: Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors Rebecca Patterson, Senior Fellow at Council on Foreign Relations Kristina Campmany, Senior Portfolio Manager at Invesco See for privacy information.

ChinaTalk

Section 301 and the Spice Man who Sued Trump Over Them

In February, the Supreme Court ruled Trump's IEEPA tariffs illegal. So why is everyone still paying them? Because the administration rebuilt them: first under Section 122, then under Section 301, and now the 301 tariffs are in court too. So ChinaTalk's series on the people suing the U.S. government over tariffs continues. Ethan Frisch is the co-founder of Burlap & Barrel, a single-origin spice company importing from about 28 countries, and a plaintiff in both the Section 122 suit (which he won) and the Section 301 challenge, argued before the Court of International Trade the day before we recorded. Guest host Peter Harrell — a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, a visiting scholar at Georgetown Law's Institute of International Economic Law, and an attorney — joins Jordan to explain where the litigation goes from here. We discuss… From aid worker to spice importer: wild cum

Bloomberg Surveillance

The Yield Curve and Shipping Risks

The latest in finance, economics and investment. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube:. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyThursday, October 1st, 2026 Featuring: 1) Cam Harvey, Professor of Finance at Duke University's Fuqua School of Business, joins to talk about the yield curve and ten-year. 2) Kate Luft, Head of Retail Banking and Citigold, talks relationship banking and CIO views. 3) John Kartsonas, Founder Managing Partner at Breakwave Partners, talks about managing the world's top performing ETF of 2026 (BWET) and how he's understanding activity in the Strait of Hormuz. 4) Jack Devine, founder at The Arkin Group, discusses Israel-Gaza, the war in Ukraine, and how the US is managing geopolitical conflicts. See for privacy information.

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