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Greenback pulls back ahead of US midterms; Bitcoin stabilises after crypto heist

The American currency is down 0.5% against a basket of other major currencies

Prediction markets:
KalshiWill BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?
Bitcoin below $72,500.00: 57% · up 3 percentage points from 54% quoted · Closes · Quote captured

Crude oil prices sell off more than 7% on Iran peace talk hopes ahead of U.S. midterms

On the map → Strait of Hormuz · Eastern Mediterranean

Prediction markets:
KalshiWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2028?
Hormuz traffic normal before Jan 1, 2028: 50% · Closes · Quote captured
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31
12% · down 1 percentage point from 13% quoted · Closes · Quote captured
Social commentary: Rory JohnstonBluesky

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