Official: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta: Latest Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate 3.7 Percent
Chronology
U.S. national debt reached 100% of GDP
Reduced historical snapshot. The full archived contents could not be verified.
U.S. national debt reached 100% of GDP
Reduced historical snapshot. The full archived contents could not be verified.
U.S. national debt reached 100% of GDP
Reduced historical snapshot. The full archived contents could not be verified.
U.S. national debt reached 100% of GDP
Reduced historical snapshot. The full archived contents could not be verified.
U.S. national debt reached 100% of GDP
Reduced historical snapshot. The full archived contents could not be verified.
Latest Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate 3.7 Percent
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is 3.7 percent on November 2, up from 3.2 percent on October 29.
Reduced historical snapshot. The full archived contents could not be verified.
US ISM manufacturing PMI for October 55.5 versus 54.5 estimate
Prior month 54.5 Details of the report. Manufacturing PMI: 55.5 vs 54.5 expected.
Reduced historical snapshot. The full archived contents could not be verified.
Reporting
- U.S. national debt reached 100% of GDP, and Washington yawned. Now what? 🔗
U.S. national debt reached 100% of GDP, and Washington yawned. Now what? 🔗
- Latest Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate 3.7 Percent
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is 3.7 percent on November 2, up from 3.2 percent on October 29. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 2.7 percent and 9.0 percent, respectively, to 2.9 percent and 11.1 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, November 4. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases.
- US economy beats forecasts to grow at 3.4% rate in third quarter
AI investment boom and solid consumer spending continue to fuel growth in world’s largest economy
- U.S. Debt Tops GDP for First Time Since 1946, Lifting Global Rates
U.S. federal debt reached $32.2 trillion, or 100.03% of GDP, the first time it has topped output since 1946.
Analysis
Earlier on MacroDigest
- U.S. national debt reached 100% of GDP
- US ISM manufacturing PMI for October 55.5 versus 54.5 estimate
- US ISM manufacturing PMI rises to 55.5 in October from 54.5, versus 54.5 consensus, reinforcing signs of faster factory-sector expansion
- Latest Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate 3.7 Percent
- US economic growth accelerates in third quarter
- U.S. national debt reached 100% of GDP this week
- U.S. national debt reached 100% of GDP this week
- U.S. national debt reached 100% of GDP this week
- U.S. Debt Tops GDP for First Time Since 1946, Lifting Global Rates
- US economic growth accelerates in third quarter
- US economic growth accelerates in third quarter
- U.S. GDP Increased 3.4% in Third Quarter
- U.S. GDP Increased 3.4% in Third Quarter
- U.S. Composite PMI Eases in October as Selling Prices Rise Fastest in Four Years
- AI rapidly improving, could vastly boost US GDP, Anthropic’s Clark tells policymakers
- Anthropic Co-Founder Sees U.S. GDP Rising 50% in Four Years
- AI rapidly improving, could vastly boost U.S. GDP, Anthropic's Clark tells policymakers
- US retail sales beat expectations in September on higher gasoline prices
- US retail sales beat expectations in September on higher gasoline prices
- US retail sales beat expectations in September on higher gasoline prices