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Monthly rise in US October inflation led to Fed rate hike expectations of up to 50 basis points despite brief hopes that falling oil prices would ease inflation
Chronology
Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday, a release that could influence the US Dollar (USD) valuation as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook.
- Investing.com: Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
- Anadolu Agency: Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- Bloomberg: US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
- Seoul Economic Daily: U.S. October CPI Rises 0.4% on Month, Beating Forecasts
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday, a release that could influence the US Dollar (USD) valuation as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook.
- Investing.com: Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
- Anadolu Agency: Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- Bloomberg: US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- Seoul Economic Daily: U.S. October CPI Rises 0.4% on Month, Beating Forecasts
Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday, a release that could influence the US Dollar (USD) valuation as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook.
- Investing.com: Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
- Anadolu Agency: Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta: Sticky-Price CPI Up 3.1 Percent in October
- Bloomberg: US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
- Seoul Economic Daily: U.S. October CPI Rises 0.4% on Month, Beating Forecasts
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday, a release that could influence the US Dollar (USD) valuation as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook.
- Investing.com: Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
- Anadolu Agency: Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta: Sticky-Price CPI Up 3.1 Percent in October
- Bloomberg: US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- Seoul Economic Daily: U.S. October CPI Rises 0.4% on Month, Beating Forecasts
Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
Monthly rise in US October inflation led to Fed rate hike expectations of up to 50 basis points despite brief hopes that falling oil prices would ease inflation
- Anadolu Agency: Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
- Financial Times: Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- Seoul Economic Daily: Won Firms Against Dollar Despite Hot U.S. Inflation Data
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- Bloomberg: US Core CPI Rises by More Than Forecast, Supporting Fed Hike
- Investing.com: U.S. consumer prices seen rising 3.8% year-on-year in October - Truflation
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- Investing.com: Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
- Bloomberg: US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
- Seoul Economic Daily: U.S. October CPI Rises 0.4% on Month, Beating Forecasts
- BBC: US inflation higher than expected in October - here's what is happening with prices
Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
Monthly rise in US October inflation led to Fed rate hike expectations of up to 50 basis points despite brief hopes that falling oil prices would ease inflation
- Anadolu Agency: Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
- Financial Times: Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- Seoul Economic Daily: Won Firms Against Dollar Despite Hot U.S. Inflation Data
- Bloomberg: US Core CPI Rises by More Than Forecast, Supporting Fed Hike
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- Investing.com: Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
- Seoul Economic Daily: U.S. October CPI Rises 0.4% on Month, Beating Forecasts
- BBC: US inflation higher than expected in October - here's what is happening with prices
- Investing.com: U.S. consumer prices seen rising 3.8% year-on-year in October - Truflation
- Bloomberg: US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
Monthly rise in US October inflation led to Fed rate hike expectations of up to 50 basis points despite brief hopes that falling oil prices would ease inflation
- Anadolu Agency: Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- Financial Times: Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- Bloomberg: US Core CPI Rises by More Than Forecast, Supporting Fed Hike
- Investing.com: Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
- Seoul Economic Daily: U.S. October CPI Rises 0.4% on Month, Beating Forecasts
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- BBC: US inflation higher than expected in October - here's what is happening with prices
Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
Monthly rise in US October inflation led to Fed rate hike expectations of up to 50 basis points despite brief hopes that falling oil prices would ease inflation
- Anadolu Agency: Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- Seoul Economic Daily: Won Firms Against Dollar Despite Hot U.S. Inflation Data
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- Bloomberg: US Core CPI Rises by More Than Forecast, Supporting Fed Hike
- Investing.com: U.S. consumer prices seen rising 3.8% year-on-year in October - Truflation
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- Investing.com: Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
- Bloomberg: US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
- Financial Times: Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
- Seoul Economic Daily: U.S. October CPI Rises 0.4% on Month, Beating Forecasts
- BBC: US inflation higher than expected in October - here's what is happening with prices
Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
Monthly rise in US October inflation led to Fed rate hike expectations of up to 50 basis points despite brief hopes that falling oil prices would ease inflation
- Anadolu Agency: Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- Seoul Economic Daily: Won Firms Against Dollar Despite Hot U.S. Inflation Data
- Bloomberg: US Core CPI Rises by More Than Forecast, Supporting Fed Hike
- Investing.com: Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- Bloomberg: US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
- Seoul Economic Daily: U.S. October CPI Rises 0.4% on Month, Beating Forecasts
- Financial Times: Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
- BBC: US inflation higher than expected in October - here's what is happening with prices
- Investing.com: U.S. consumer prices seen rising 3.8% year-on-year in October - Truflation
Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
Talk about picking an awkward time to take a day off, eh? Wall Street was left licking its wounds yesterday after the hotter-than-expected US inflation data sent Treasury yields surging and stocks tumbling.
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta: Sticky-Price CPI Up 3.1 Percent in October
- Seoul Economic Daily: Won Firms Against Dollar Despite Hot U.S. Inflation Data
- Investing.com: Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- Bloomberg: US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
- Financial Times: Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
- BBC: US inflation higher than expected in October - here's what is happening with prices
- Anadolu Agency: Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
The Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% last month after advancing 0.6% in September.
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta: Sticky-Price CPI Up 3.1 Percent in October
- Seoul Economic Daily: Won Firms Against Dollar Despite Hot U.S. Inflation Data
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- Investing.com: Global bonds fall as hot U.S. CPI and Fed rhetoric stoke fears of 50-bps hike
- Financial Times: Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
- Bloomberg: US Core CPI Rises by More Than Forecast, Supporting Fed Hike
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- BBC: US inflation higher than expected in October - here's what is happening with prices
US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
The Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% last month after advancing 0.6% in September.
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta: Sticky-Price CPI Up 3.1 Percent in October
- Seoul Economic Daily: Won Firms Against Dollar Despite Hot U.S. Inflation Data
- investingLive: Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
- Investing.com: Global bonds fall as hot U.S. CPI and Fed rhetoric stoke fears of 50-bps hike
- Financial Times: Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
- BBC: US inflation higher than expected in October - here's what is happening with prices
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- Bloomberg: US Core CPI Rises by More Than Forecast, Supporting Fed Hike
Reporting
- Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations
Monthly rise in US October inflation led to Fed rate hike expectations of up to 50 basis points despite brief hopes that falling oil prices would ease inflation
- Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
Stronger than expected figure of 0.4% comes as last year’s government shutdown prevented data collection
- US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
The Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% last month after advancing 0.6% in September. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI climbing 0.3% over the month.
- Won Firms Against Dollar Despite Hot U.S. Inflation Data
The won-dollar rate fell 3.9 won to 1,333.6 won as offshore dollar selling outweighed stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data.
- US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday, a release that could influence the US Dollar (USD) valuation as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook.
- US Core CPI Rises by More Than Forecast, Supporting Fed Hike
A key gauge of US consumer prices posted another firm advance in October, keeping the Federal Reserve on track to raise interest rates next month. - A key gauge of US consumer prices posted another firm advance in October, likely keeping the Federal Reserve on track to raise interest rates next month
- U.S. consumer prices seen rising 3.8% year-on-year in October - Truflation
- Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangover
Talk about picking an awkward time to take a day off, eh? Wall Street was left licking its wounds yesterday after the hotter-than-expected US inflation data sent Treasury yields surging and stocks tumbling. And just as traders are trying to make sense of the fallout, the bond market is going to be off on a holiday. A reminder and a quick heads up that today is Veterans Day in the US, meaning the bond market will be closed while stock markets will remain open as per usual. As such, that makes for a rather peculiar setup after yesterday's market reaction to the inflation numbers. Headline inflation came in at 0.4% m/m in October against the 0.3% expected, while core inflation rose by 0.3% m/m versus estimates of 0.2%. And that was enough to reignite concerns over the Fed potentially having to tighten policy more aggressively in December, especially after Fed governor Waller warned about pe
- Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
Rising prices point to the Fed increasing borrowing costs before Christmas.
- Global bonds reel as hot U.S. CPI and hawkish Fed revive 50-bp hike fears
- US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
- U.S. October CPI Rises 0.4% on Month, Beating Forecasts
U.S. consumer prices rose 0.4% in October, above the 0.3% forecast, as Fed Governor Waller signaled support for a December rate increase.
- US inflation higher than expected in October - here's what is happening with prices
Prices rose by 0.4% over the month, driven by increases in shelter, food and energy costs.
Social context
- Another broad based upside surprise on October core CPI inflaiton with ugly PCE translation--I don't think the Fed goes 50bps in December as Waller suggested but sequential rate hikes seem lilely and there is clearly more wood to chop on inflation
Another broad based upside surprise on October core CPI inflaiton with ugly PCE translation--I don't think the Fed goes 50bps in December as Waller suggested but sequential rate hikes seem lilely and there is clearly more wood to chop on inflation
- The 2025 US Government shutdown made it hard to look at the just-released CPI figures on a year-over-year basis. I used the September and November 2025 numbers as a base instead. And the numbers show inflation rising anywhere from 3.8 to 4.2% in the past year, effectively double the 2% target.
The 2025 US Government shutdown made it hard to look at the just-released CPI figures on a year-over-year basis. I used the September and November 2025 numbers as a base instead. And the numbers show inflation rising anywhere from 3.8 to 4.2% in the past year, effectively double the 2% target.
Earlier on MacroDigest
- US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
- US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- Monthly US inflation rose 0.4% in October
- U.S. consumer prices seen rising 3.8% year-on-year in October - Truflation
- Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- US CPI preview: 43-day shutdown leaves no official annual rate as monthly pace seen easing
- Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track
- As tech swoon roils market, US inflation data on tap
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