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The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday, a release that could influence the US Dollar (USD) valuation as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook.
Chronology
US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday, a release that could influence the US Dollar (USD) valuation as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook.
- Reuters: US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- MarketWatch: Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- FXStreet: US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
- Bloomberg: US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
- Financial Times: Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
- Investing.com: U.S. consumer prices seen rising 3.8% year-on-year in October - Truflation
U.S. consumer prices seen rising 3.8% year-on-year in October - Truflation
Reporting
- US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
- Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
Rising prices point to the Fed increasing borrowing costs before Christmas.
- US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday, a release that could influence the US Dollar (USD) valuation as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook.
- US CPI Report October 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index
- Monthly US inflation eased less than expected in October
Stronger than expected figure of 0.4% comes as last year’s government shutdown prevented data collection
- U.S. consumer prices seen rising 3.8% year-on-year in October - Truflation
Analysis
- Maritime Chokepoint Disruptions, Trade and U.S. Inflation
This paper studies the effects of maritime chokepoint disruptions on U.S. inflation and their implications for monetary policy.
Podcasts
- US inflation higher than expected in October - here's what is happening with prices
Prices rose by 0.4% over the month, driven by increases in shelter, food and energy costs.
Social context
- The 2025 US Government shutdown made it hard to look at the just-released CPI figures on a year-over-year basis. I used the September and November 2025 numbers as a base instead. And the numbers show inflation rising anywhere from 3.8 to 4.2% in the past year, effectively double the 2% target.
The 2025 US Government shutdown made it hard to look at the just-released CPI figures on a year-over-year basis. I used the September and November 2025 numbers as a base instead. And the numbers show inflation rising anywhere from 3.8 to 4.2% in the past year, effectively double the 2% target.
Prediction markets
Historical quotes retained with the package; these are not live prices.
Earlier on MacroDigest
- Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track.
- US CPI preview: 43-day shutdown leaves no official annual rate as monthly pace seen easing
- Hot U.S. inflation hasn’t cooled off. Rising consumer prices to keep Fed rate hike on track
- As tech swoon roils market, US inflation data on tap
- US markets next week 9-14 Nov: After crash and bounce back, investors eye inflation data, tech earnings, and more
- As tech swoon roils market, US inflation data on tap
- Third-quarter U.S. GDP increases a better-than-expected 3.4% as September inflation accelerates
- Third-quarter U.S. GDP increases a better-than-expected 3.4% as September inflation accelerates
- U.S. Consumer Sentiment Hits 5-Month Low on Inflation Strain
- Kalshi Courts Wall Street in Bid to Be the ‘Inflation Exchange’
- US business activity cools in October; strong demand fueling price pressures
- US Consumer Sentiment Slips to Five-Month Low on Inflation Woes
- Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Third Quarter of 2026
- Canadian inflation expectations rose after Canada-US trade talks broke down
- Seoul stocks extend losses as AI, US inflation concerns persist
- US Producer Prices Rise by Most in More Than Four Years
- US Producer Prices Rise by Most in More Than Four Years
- US producer prices post largest gain in 4-1/2 years; expensive gasoline boosts retail sales
- US producer prices post largest gain in 4-1/2 years; expensive gasoline boosts retail sales
- Oil and Gas Costs Send US Producer Prices Higher